The PM Abiy administration’s Conundrum

By Tibebe Birihan 

After a good fresh start when taking the helm a year and half ago, PM Abiy seemed to be destined to unify and pacify the country tormented by TPLF looting gangs for close to 30 years. Those who thought he was the answer to their prayers elevated him to the status of sainthood. They took him as a savior and the man to lead them to the Promised Land. A year and half later, things do seem not as rosy as once thought.

His reluctance to decisively deliver a blowing punch to the bleeding TPLF nose at the outset coupled with his invitations of unsavory ethnic opportunists to the country is now setting the stage for a bloody confrontation. His unwittingly appointing diehard ethnic cadres to the detrimental positions in the federal structure and, sidelining those who served as stepping stone for his ascent is now compounding the problems that he has to deal with. His anger and agitation against the “Balderas” movement and his haste in declaring as a coup what transpired in Bahirdar, further fuels the perception of him as having antipathy to the genuine Ethiopianist blocks.

While he is practically doing everything possible to transfer power to the hands of his ethnic party, his base unfortunately is embroiled with what he has to say as the leader of the country. They are vying to hear hatful and condescending speech targeting the Amara people for the base’s ephemeral pleasure like Meles Zenawi habitually used to do.

The Jawarian Qerros are now emboldened by the frequent tolerance and inaction exhibited by the security establishments while they criminally break the rule of law. They seem to think that they are the only ones who have the rights to do anything without accountability and often times get away with it. This must have created the impression in the mobs mentality that they can go even further to claim the helm and bestow it on their imagined true leader, aka Jawar. One can clearly conclude these intentions after observing the down down Abiy slogans and the burnings of his Medemer books at every gatherings of the mob that calls itself Qerro.

The PM frequently makes the case that democracy is messy and we, as a country are trying to emerge from the past authoritarian and dictatorial rules there by, tolerance is needed. However, one could easily argue against these premises by simply pointing the facts how his administration is dealing with other civic movements in the country, Balderas being the primary case in point. His administration also goes out of its way to apprehend members of NAMA by desperately trying to relate them to the unfortunate event of June 15th in Bahir Dar.

Suffice to say, the PM is now facing a formidable egoistic foe that is never to be satisfied short of replacing him. The opposition from the Oromo base against the PM is so intense and wide that it won’t be an easy task to do business as usual. What seems to be fueling the anger against the PM by his base is the discharging of the duties and responsibilities by the PM as the leader of the country, which seems to be going against the Oromo first manta of the ethnic extremists.  These inherent contradictions are created by the very structural problems that the country is said to have been federalized. One can’t satisfy two masters at the same time with same degree of loyalty. This vexed question of maintaining equilibrium is never the true objective of those who crafted such a system

The prime minister could have balanced the influence of the leaders of the Qerro movement by equally and practically empowering the Ethiopianist forces. These forces are huge in following but mostly silent and shying away from the limelight. The constant and unrelenting campaigns against these forces by the TPLF regime and the extreme ethnic zealots have created the appearance that such forces are relegated to irrelevance. The PM could still not only orally but practically show his stand with Ethiopia and for Ethiopia in such a way by creating the level field for such forces to operate freely and democratically. Short of that, PM Abiy is now becoming the victim of his own making.

The writer could be reach at @tbirihan@yahoo.com

1 COMMENT

  1. Jawar vs. Abiy!

    Jawar has already announced that those burned down places of worship were torched by the victims themselves just to make his ‘well disciplined’ army look bad. According to his well conducted investigation there are more Oromo victims which means the other victims created their own demise. So what is your problem with the PM for using ethnicity in describing the savage act? He was just using the lead by Jawar. He is doing his assigned job. I tell you Jawar is the most feared person now over there. When the very capable president told the nation and the world that the red line has been crossed, Jawar told her off and to stick it!!! Now he announced that the ‘neftegnas’ are after him and his media outfit. I tell you he is the most feared person in the country. It seems that he knows very damaging skeletons on the PM and he is ready to spill the beans on him at a moment’s notice.

    I don’t see any real conflict between these two individuals. One claims to have the support of more than 50 million people. That is right, 50 million and those 50 million are not from diverse background but from one. The other one is allegedly the leader of 100 million people including the 50 million already claimed by his challenger. From the recent revelation I am not sure why and for what these two act out for us to be adversaries. They both have skeletons in their cabinets. So I tell these two to take their ‘siyasas’ somewhere else. I will not believe the bone the ‘leader’ of the 100 million people has with the OLF now or in the past. What was all that negotiation about in 2018 in Asmara? It was a charade? How could that be? How and what do you negotiate with someone you worked for? I think we all have been had by the slick willies!!! What is the world coming to? As far as I have always known, those who claim to be guided by the Holy Scriptures they are not supposed to do or never do things behind your back. These two are sitting on soiled chairs.

    That was why exactly I opined about the leadership before. I had made my conviction very clear that from now on no one from the three ethnic groups, Oromo, Amhara and Tigray should be given the top leadership position. Anyone from these three is guaranteed to bring along boatloads of undesirable baggage along all the way to the palace. That is if the country is desired to continue in its present day status. All the indications show me that its fate already sealed. And it is becoming too difficult for me now to believe in what the young PM is saying. He said 86 citizens were butchered and more 400 were arrested. I scoured all over the web and could not find a single mug shot of those who committed the savage act or the list of the deceased. He did not say anything about those members of the security who were allegedly just watching the carnage from the safe distance. This accusation was made by the Oromo survivors who fell victims because they refused to join the massacre. I did not hear a single word from him about these government paid by-standers.

    So folks!!! Don’t be surprised if you hear a rash of new ‘republics’ in the near future.

    I am very saddened by the sight of this ‘intimidating’ message by a Wahhabi news source on this esteemed website. We are being told that Egypt is now the 13th most powerful nation in the world where Ethiopia is somewhere way down there at the 47th. It has no chance therefore she better stoop down and plea for mercy. In fact, the old country should and better allow el-Sisi to finish the dam to his liking. Otherwise, you know what will happen? He will send his indomitable air force and ground forces and wipe out every living, breathing Ethiopian over there. He soldiers and pilots will have very knowledgeable guides from the ‘liberation fronts’ and media moguls he has known for more than four decades.

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